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1.
J Prev Alzheimers Dis ; 9(4): 617-624, 2022.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36281665

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Screening data from the Anti-Amyloid Treatment in Asymptomatic Alzheimer's Disease (A4) and Longitudinal Evaluation of Amyloid Risk and Neurodegeneration (LEARN) studies provide a unique opportunity to compare magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) findings such as amyloid-related imaging abnormalities (ARIA) in cognitively unimpaired elderly with and without elevated cerebral amyloid. OBJECTIVES: To compare screening MRI findings, such as ARIA, in the cognitively unimpaired potential participants of a clinical trial with and without elevated cerebral amyloid. DESIGN: Cross-sectional analysis of structural MRI findings in screening data from the A4 and LEARN studies. SETTING: The A4 Study is a multi-center international clinical trial. The LEARN Study is a multi center observational study in the United States. PARTICIPANTS: Clinically normal older adults (65-85 years) with elevated cerebral amyloid (Aß+; n = 1250, A4) and without elevated cerebral amyloid (Aß-; n = 538, LEARN). MEASUREMENTS: Participants underwent florbetapir positron emission tomography for Aß+/- classification. A centrally read 3T MRI to assess for study eligibility was conducted on study qualified MRI scanners. RESULTS: No ARIA-effusions (ARIA-E) was detected on screening MRI in the Aß+ or Aß- cohorts. At least one ARIA-H (microhemorrhages [MCH] or superficial siderosis [SS]) was present in 18% of the Aß+ cohort compared with 8% in Aß- (P < 0.001). In the Aß+ cohort, approximately 2% of screening MRIs demonstrated MCH ≥4 compared with 0% in Aß-. The presence of two apolipoprotein E ε4 (APOEε4) alleles (vs no ε4 alleles) in the Aß+ cohort increased the odds for presence of MCH (odds ratio [OR] = 2.03; 95% CI, 1.23 to 3.27, P = 0.004). Cortical infarctions (4% vs 0%) and subcortical infarctions (10% vs 1%) were observed at statistically significantly higher prevalence in the Aß+ cohort compared with Aß- (P < 0.001). Females showed reduced odds of MCH in the Aß+ cohort by a factor of 0.63 (95% CI, 0.47 to 0.84, P = 0.002). CONCLUSIONS: ARIA-E is rare in cognitively unimpaired Aß+ and Aß- populations prior to anti-amyloid drug intervention. ARIA-H in Aß+ was greater than in Aß- populations.


Asunto(s)
Enfermedad de Alzheimer , Péptidos beta-Amiloides , Anciano , Femenino , Humanos , Enfermedad de Alzheimer/tratamiento farmacológico , Amiloide , Apolipoproteína E4 , Estudios Transversales , Imagen por Resonancia Magnética , Anciano de 80 o más Años , Masculino
2.
J Prev Alzheimers Dis ; 9(2): 255-261, 2022.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35542998

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Cognitive composites commonly serve as primary outcomes in Alzheimer's disease (AD) secondary prevention trials. OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the association between amyloid (Aß) burden level (+/-) and performance on three separate composite endpoints: Preclinical Alzheimer's Cognitive Composite (PACC), PACC+Semantic Fluency (PACC5), and Repeatable Battery for Neuropsychological Status (RBANS). DESIGN: Screening data from the randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled, phase 2b/3 atabecestat EARLY study in preclinical AD participants were used in this analysis. SETTING: The EARLY study was conducted at 143 centers across 14 countries. PARTICIPANTS: 3,569 cognitively unimpaired older adults (Clinical Dementia Rating of 0; aged 60-85 years) screened for inclusion in the EARLY study with Aß status and at least PACC or RBANS at screening were included. Participants were categorized as those with non-pathological Aß levels (Aß-, n=2,824) and those with pathological Aß levels (Aß+, n=745) based on florbetapir uptake or levels of cerebrospinal fluid Aß1-42. MEASUREMENTS: Analysis of Covariance models controlling for age, sex, and education were used to examine the difference in PACC, PACC5, and RBANS between Aß groups. Nonparametric bootstrap was used to compare sensitivity of composites to differentiate between Aß status. RESULTS: Of 3,569 participants, 2,116 were women (59%); 3,006 were Caucasian (84%); mean (SD) age was 68.98 (5.28) years. Aß+ participants performed worse versus Aß- participants on all cognitive composites though the magnitude of the Aß effect was generally small. The Aß+/- effect size for the PACC (Cohen's d=-0.15) was significantly greater than the RBANS (d=-0.097) while the PACC5 effect size (d=-0.139) was numerically larger than the RBANS. When examining subscores from the composites, memory tests (i.e., Free and Cued Selective Reminding Test, Figure Recall) and speed of processing (i.e., Digit-Symbol/Coding on the PACC/RBANS) exhibited the largest Aß+/- effect sizes. CONCLUSIONS: Cross-sectional relationships between Aß and cognition among clinically unimpaired older adults are detectable on multi-domain cognitive composites but are relatively small in magnitude. The Aß+/- group effect was statistically larger for PACC and marginally larger for PACC5 versus RBANS. However, interpretation of composite sensitivity to Aß status cross-sectionally cannot be generalized to sensitivity to change over time.


Asunto(s)
Enfermedad de Alzheimer , Tiazinas , Anciano , Enfermedad de Alzheimer/tratamiento farmacológico , Amiloide , Péptidos beta-Amiloides/líquido cefalorraquídeo , Cognición , Femenino , Humanos , Masculino , Pruebas Neuropsicológicas , Piridinas , Ensayos Clínicos Controlados Aleatorios como Asunto , Tiazinas/uso terapéutico
3.
J Prev Alzheimers Dis ; 8(3): 257-262, 2021.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34101781

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Greater subjective cognitive changes on the Cognitive Function Index (CFI) was previously found to be associated with elevated amyloid (Aß) status in participants screening for the A4 Study, reported by study partners and the participants themselves. While the total score on the CFI related to amyloid for both sources respectively, potential differences in the specific types of cognitive changes reported by either participants or their study partners was not investigated. OBJECTIVES: To determine the specific types of subjective cognitive changes endorsed by participants and their study partners that are associated with amyloid status in individuals screening for an AD prevention trial. DESIGN, SETTING, PARTICIPANTS: Four thousand four hundred and eighty-six cognitively unimpaired (CDR=0; MMSE 25-30) participants (ages 65-85) screening for the A4 Study completed florbetapir (Aß) Positron Emission Tomography (PET) imaging. Participants were classified as elevated amyloid (Aß+; n=1323) or non-elevated amyloid (Aß-; n=3163). MEASUREMENTS: Prior to amyloid PET imaging, subjective report of changes in cognitive functioning were measured using the CFI (15 item questionnaire; Yes/Maybe/No response options) and administered separately to both participants and their study partners (i.e., a family member or friend in regular contact with the participant). The impact of demographic factors on CFI report was investigated. For each item of the CFI, the relationship between Aß and CFI response was investigated using an ordinal mixed effects model for participant and study partner report. RESULTS: Independent of Aß status, participants were more likely to report 'Yes' or 'Maybe' compared to the study partners for nearly all CFI items. Older age (r= 0.06, p<0.001) and lower education (r=-0.08, p<0.001) of the participant were associated with higher CFI. Highest coincident odds ratios related to Aß+ for both respondents included items assessing whether 'a substantial decline in memory' had occurred in the last year (ORsp= 1.35 [95% CI 1.11, 1.63]; ORp= 1.55 [95% CI 1.34, 1.79]) and whether the participant had 'seen a doctor about memory' (ORsp= 1.56 [95% CI 1.25, 1.95]; ORp =1.71 [95% CI 1.37, 2.12]). For two items, associations were significant for only study partner report; whether the participant 'Repeats questions' (ORsp = 1.30 [95% CI 1.07, 1.57]) and has 'trouble following the news' (ORsp= 1.46[95% CI 1.12, 1.91]). One question was significant only for participant report; 'trouble driving' (ORp= 1.25 [95% CI 1.04, 1.49]). CONCLUSIONS: Elevated Aß is associated with greater reporting of subjective cognitive changes as measured by the CFI in this cognitively unimpaired population. While participants were more likely than study partners to endorse change on most CFI items, unique CFI items were associated with elevated Aß for participants and their study partners, supporting the value of both sources of information in clinical trials.


Asunto(s)
Enfermedad de Alzheimer/prevención & control , Amiloide/metabolismo , Cognición/fisiología , Voluntarios Sanos/estadística & datos numéricos , Pruebas Neuropsicológicas/estadística & datos numéricos , Autoinforme , Encuestas y Cuestionarios , Anciano , Anciano de 80 o más Años , Compuestos de Anilina , Glicoles de Etileno , Femenino , Humanos , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Tomografía de Emisión de Positrones , Esposos/psicología , Esposos/estadística & datos numéricos
4.
J Prev Alzheimers Dis ; 8(1): 59-67, 2021.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33336226

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Computerized cognitive assessments may improve Alzheimer's disease (AD) secondary prevention trial efficiency and accuracy. However, they require validation against standard outcomes and relevant biomarkers. OBJECTIVE: To assess the feasibility and validity of the tablet-based Computerized Cognitive Composite (C3). DESIGN: Cross-sectional analysis of cognitive screening data from the A4 study (Anti-Amyloid in Asymptomatic AD). SETTING: Multi-center international study. PARTICIPANTS: Clinically normal (CN) older adults (65-85; n=4486). MEASUREMENTS: Participants underwent florbetapir-Positron Emission Tomography for Aß+/- classification. They completed the C3 and standard paper and pencil measures included in the Preclinical Alzheimer's Cognitive Composite (PACC). The C3 combines memory measures sensitive to change over time (Cogstate Brief Battery-One Card Learning) and measures shown to be declining early in AD including pattern separation (Behavioral Pattern Separation Test- Object- Lure Discrimination Index) and associative memory (Face Name Associative Memory Exam- Face-Name Matching). C3 acceptability and completion rates were assessed using qualitative and quantitative methods. C3 performance was explored in relation to Aß+/- groups (n=1323/3163) and PACC. RESULTS: C3 was feasible for CN older adults to complete. Rates of incomplete or invalid administrations were extremely low, even in the bottom quartile of cognitive performers (PACC). C3 was moderately correlated with PACC (r=0.39). Aß+ performed worse on C3 compared with Aß- [unadjusted Cohen's d=-0.22 (95%CI: -0.31,-0.13) p<0.001] and at a magnitude comparable to the PACC [d=-0.32 (95%CI: -0.41,-0.23) p<0.001]. Better C3 performance was observed in younger, more educated, and female participants. CONCLUSIONS: These findings provide support for both the feasibility and validity of C3 and computerized cognitive outcomes more generally in AD secondary prevention trials.


Asunto(s)
Enfermedad de Alzheimer/diagnóstico , Ensayos Clínicos como Asunto , Pruebas de Estado Mental y Demencia , Anciano , Péptidos beta-Amiloides/metabolismo , Biomarcadores/metabolismo , Computadores , Estudios Transversales , Estudios de Factibilidad , Femenino , Humanos , Masculino , Investigación Cualitativa , Prevención Secundaria
5.
J Prev Alzheimers Dis ; 7(4): 208-212, 2020.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32920621

RESUMEN

The Trial-Ready Cohort for Preclinical/prodromal Alzheimer's Disease (TRC-PAD) project is a collaborative effort to establish an efficient mechanism for recruiting participants into very early stage Alzheimer's disease trials. Clinically normal and mildly symptomatic individuals are followed longitudinally in a web-based component called the Alzheimer's Prevention Trial Webstudy (APT Webstudy), with quarterly assessment of cognition and subjective concerns. The Webstudy data is used to predict the likelihood of brain amyloid elevation; individuals at relatively high risk are invited for in-person assessment in the TRC screeing phase, during which a cognitive battery is administered and Apolipoprotein E genotype is obtained followed by reassessment of risk of amyloid elevation. After an initial validation study, plasma amyloid peptide ratios will be included in this risk assessment. Based on this second risk calculation, individuals may have amyloid testing by PET scan or lumbar puncture, with those potentially eligible for trials followed in the TRC, while the rest are invited to remain in the APT Webstudy. To date, over 30,000 individuals have participated in the Webstudy; enrollment in the TRC is in its early stage.


Asunto(s)
Enfermedad de Alzheimer/prevención & control , Selección de Paciente , Síntomas Prodrómicos , Enfermedad de Alzheimer/tratamiento farmacológico , Péptidos beta-Amiloides/metabolismo , Apolipoproteínas E/genética , Desarrollo de Medicamentos , Humanos , Estudios Longitudinales , Ensayos Clínicos Controlados Aleatorios como Asunto
6.
J Prev Alzheimers Dis ; 7(4): 213-218, 2020.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32920622

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Screening to identify individuals with elevated brain amyloid (Aß+) for clinical trials in Preclinical Alzheimer's Disease (PAD), such as the Anti-Amyloid Treatment in Asymptomatic Alzheimer's disease (A4) trial, is slow and costly. The Trial-Ready Cohort in Preclinical/Prodromal Alzheimer's Disease (TRC-PAD) aims to accelerate and reduce costs of AD trial recruitment by maintaining a web-based registry of potential trial participants, and using predictive algorithms to assess their likelihood of suitability for PAD trials. OBJECTIVES: Here we describe how algorithms used to predict amyloid burden within TRC-PAD project were derived using screening data from the A4 trial. DESIGN: We apply machine learning techniques to predict amyloid positivity. Demographic variables, APOE genotype, and measures of cognition and function are considered as predictors. Model data were derived from the A4 trial. SETTING: TRC-PAD data are collected from web-based and in-person assessments and are used to predict the risk of elevated amyloid and assess eligibility for AD trials. PARTICIPANTS: Pre-randomization, cross-sectional data from the ongoing A4 trial are used to develop statistical models. MEASUREMENTS: Models use a range of cognitive tests and subjective memory assessments, along with demographic variables. Amyloid positivity in A4 was confirmed using positron emission tomography (PET). RESULTS: The A4 trial screened N=4,486 participants, of which N=1323 (29%) were classified as Aß+ (SUVR ≥ 1.15). The Area under the Receiver Operating Characteristic curves for these models ranged from 0.60 (95% CI 0.56 to 0.64) for a web-based battery without APOE to 0.74 (95% CI 0.70 to 0.78) for an in-person battery. The number needed to screen to identify an Aß+ individual is reduced from 3.39 in A4 to 2.62 in the remote setting without APOE, and 1.61 in the remote setting with APOE. CONCLUSIONS: Predictive algorithms in a web-based registry can improve the efficiency of screening in future secondary prevention trials. APOE status contributes most to predictive accuracy with cross-sectional data. Blood-based assays of amyloid will likely improve the prediction of amyloid PET positivity.


Asunto(s)
Enfermedad de Alzheimer/diagnóstico , Péptidos beta-Amiloides/metabolismo , Tamizaje Masivo/métodos , Selección de Paciente , Anciano , Enfermedad de Alzheimer/psicología , Disfunción Cognitiva/diagnóstico , Disfunción Cognitiva/genética , Estudios Transversales , Femenino , Humanos , Estudios Longitudinales , Masculino , Pruebas de Estado Mental y Demencia , Síntomas Prodrómicos , Prevención Secundaria/métodos
7.
J Nutr Health Aging ; 22(8): 982-998, 2018.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-30272103

RESUMEN

OBJECTIVES: to identify the optimal erythrocyte omega-3 index cut-off for predicting cognitive decline and/or polyunsaturated fatty acid (PUFA) treatment response, in order to better define the target population for future dementia prevention trials. DESIGN AND SETTING: Secondary exploratory analysis of the randomized controlled MAPT prevention trial. PARTICIPANTS: 724 dementia-free subjects aged 70 or older with subjective memory complaints, limitations in one instrumental activity of daily living, and/or slow gait speed. INTERVENTION: 800mg docosahexaenoic acid (DHA) and 225mg eicosapentaenoic acid (EPA) daily versus placebo. MEASUREMENTS: Erythrocyte omega-3 index was measured at baseline. Cognition was measured over 3 years with a composite cognitive score (mean of 4 z-scores). RESULTS: Placebo group subjects in the lowest quartile of baseline erythrocyte omega-3 index (i.e. ≤4.83%) underwent significantly more 3-year cognitive decline than the other quartiles (mean composite score difference 0.14, 95%CI [0.00, 0.28], p=0.048). In a ROC curve analysis, the optimal omega-3 index cut-off for predicting notable cognitive decline was 5.3%. There was a consistent but non-significant difference in 3-year cognitive decline of approximately 0.12 points between PUFA-treated and placebo subjects with "low" baseline omega-3 index when the cut-off was set at ≤5.27%. CONCLUSIONS: Dementia-free older adults with an omega-3 index below approximately 5% are at increased risk of cognitive decline, and could be a good target population for testing the cognitive effects of PUFA supplementation.


Asunto(s)
Disfunción Cognitiva/tratamiento farmacológico , Disfunción Cognitiva/prevención & control , Ácidos Docosahexaenoicos/uso terapéutico , Ácido Eicosapentaenoico/análogos & derivados , Ácidos Grasos Omega-3/análisis , Actividades Cotidianas , Anciano , Cognición/fisiología , Demencia/fisiopatología , Suplementos Dietéticos , Ácido Eicosapentaenoico/uso terapéutico , Eritrocitos/química , Femenino , Humanos , Masculino , Memoria , Placebos/administración & dosificación , Estudios Retrospectivos , Velocidad al Caminar/fisiología
8.
Br J Anaesth ; 114(1): 121-9, 2015 Jan.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-25248648

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: It remains unknown whether local anaesthetic dose is the only factor influencing continuous popliteal-sciatic nerve block effects, or whether concentration, volume, or both exert an influence as well. METHODS: Bilateral sciatic catheters were inserted in volunteers (n=24). Catheters were randomly assigned to ropivacaine of either 0.1% (8 ml h(-1)) or 0.4% (2 ml h(-1)) for 6 h. The primary endpoint was the tolerance to transcutaneous electrical stimulation within the tibial nerve distribution at hour 6. Secondary endpoints included current tolerance at other time points and plantar flexion maximum voluntary isometric contraction (22 h total). RESULTS: At hour 6, tolerance to cutaneous stimulation for limbs receiving 0.1% ropivacaine was [mean (standard deviation)] 27.0 (20.2) vs26.9 (20.4) mA for limbs receiving 0.4% [estimated mean difference 0.2 mA; 90% confidence interval (CI) -8.2 to 8.5; P=0.02 and 0.03 for lower and upper boundaries, respectively]. Because the 90% CI fell within the prespecified tolerance ±10 mA, we conclude that the effect of the two concentration/volume combinations were equivalent. Similar negative findings were found for the secondary outcomes. CONCLUSIONS: For continuous popliteal-sciatic nerve blocks, we found no evidence that local anaesthetic concentration and volume influence block characteristics, suggesting that local anaesthetic dose (mass) is the primary determinant of perineural infusion effects in this anatomic location. These findings suggest that for ambulatory perineural local anaesthetic infusion-for which there is usually a finite local anaesthetic reservoir-decreasing the basal rate while increasing the local anaesthetic concentration may allow for increased infusion duration without compromising postoperative analgesia. CLINICAL TRIAL REGISTRATION: NCT01898689.


Asunto(s)
Amidas/farmacología , Anestesia Local/métodos , Anestésicos Locales/farmacología , Bloqueo Nervioso/métodos , Dimensión del Dolor/métodos , Nervio Ciático/efectos de los fármacos , Adulto , Amidas/administración & dosificación , Anestésicos Locales/administración & dosificación , Relación Dosis-Respuesta a Droga , Método Doble Ciego , Femenino , Humanos , Bombas de Infusión , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Ropivacaína , Adulto Joven
9.
Contemp Clin Trials ; 37(1): 10-8, 2014 Jan.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-24215774

RESUMEN

PURPOSE: To describe the theoretical rationale, intervention design, and clinical trial of a two-year weight control intervention for young adults deployed via social and mobile media. METHODS: A total of 404 overweight or obese college students from three Southern California universities (M(age) = 22( ± 4) years; M(BMI) = 29( ± 2.8); 70% female) were randomized to participate in the intervention or to receive an informational web-based weight loss program. The intervention is based on behavioral theory and integrates intervention elements across multiple touch points, including Facebook, text messaging, smartphone applications, blogs, and e-mail. Participants are encouraged to seek social support among their friends, self-monitor their weight weekly, post their health behaviors on Facebook, and e-mail their weight loss questions/concerns to a health coach. The intervention is adaptive because new theory-driven and iteratively tailored intervention elements are developed and released over the course of the two-year intervention in response to patterns of use and user feedback. Measures of body mass index, waist circumference, diet, physical activity, sedentary behavior, weight management practices, smoking, alcohol, sleep, body image, self-esteem, and depression occur at 6, 12, 18, and 24 months. Currently, all participants have been recruited, and all are in the final year of the trial. CONCLUSION: Theory-driven, evidence-based strategies for physical activity, sedentary behavior, and dietary intake can be embedded in an intervention using social and mobile technologies to promote healthy weight-related behaviors in young adults.


Asunto(s)
Terapia Conductista/métodos , Aplicaciones Móviles , Obesidad/terapia , Medios de Comunicación Sociales , Programas de Reducción de Peso/métodos , Adolescente , Adulto , Índice de Masa Corporal , Peso Corporal , Teléfono Celular , Computadoras de Mano , Correo Electrónico , Femenino , Conductas Relacionadas con la Salud , Humanos , Masculino , Sobrepeso/terapia , Apoyo Social , Estudiantes , Universidades , Circunferencia de la Cintura , Adulto Joven
10.
J Nutr Health Aging ; 16(4): 360-4, 2012 Apr.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-22499459

RESUMEN

Randomized clinical trials of Alzheimer's disease (AD) and Mild Cognitive Impairment (MCI) typically assess intervention efficacy with measures of cognitive or functional assessments repeated every six months for one to two years. The Mixed Model of Repeated Measures (MMRM), which assumes an "unstructured mean" by treating time as categorical, is attractive because it makes no assumptions about the shape of the mean trajectory of the outcome over time. However, categorical time models may be over-parameterized and inefficient in detecting treatment effects relative to continuous time models of, say, the linear trend of the outcome over time. Mixed effects models can also be extended to model quadratic time effects, although it is questionable whether the duration and interval of observations in AD and MCI studies is sufficient to support such models. Furthermore, it is unknown which of these models are most robust to missing data, which plagues AD and MCI studies. We review the literature and compare estimates of treatment effects from four potential models fit to data from five AD Cooperative Study (ADCS) trials in MCI and AD.


Asunto(s)
Enfermedad de Alzheimer/tratamiento farmacológico , Disfunción Cognitiva/tratamiento farmacológico , Ensayos Clínicos Controlados Aleatorios como Asunto/métodos , Enfermedad de Alzheimer/diagnóstico , Bases de Datos Factuales , Ácidos Docosahexaenoicos/uso terapéutico , Humanos , Modelos Estadísticos , Complejo Vitamínico B/uso terapéutico
11.
Contemp Clin Trials ; 32(5): 685-93, 2011 Sep.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-21554992

RESUMEN

Randomized, placebo-controlled trials often use time-to-event as the primary endpoint, even when a continuous measure of disease severity is available. We compare the power to detect a treatment effect using either rate of change, as estimated by linear models of longitudinal continuous data, or time-to-event estimated by Cox proportional hazards models. We propose an analytic inflation factor for comparing the two types of analyses assuming that the time-to-event can be expressed as a time-to-threshold of the continuous measure. We conduct simulations based on a publicly available Alzheimer's disease data set in which the time-to-event is algorithmically defined based on a battery of assessments. A Cox proportional hazards model of the time-to-event endpoint is compared to a linear model of a single assessment from the battery. The simulations also explore the impact of baseline covariates in either analysis.


Asunto(s)
Enfermedad de Alzheimer/patología , Modelos Lineales , Estudios Longitudinales/métodos , Proyectos de Investigación , Tiempo , Progresión de la Enfermedad , Humanos , Modelos de Riesgos Proporcionales , Sensibilidad y Especificidad
12.
Biometrika ; 98(3): 685-700, 2011 Sep.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-22822261

RESUMEN

We study model selection for clustered data, when the focus is on cluster specific inference. Such data are often modelled using random effects, and conditional Akaike information was proposed in Vaida & Blanchard (2005) and used to derive an information criterion under linear mixed models. Here we extend the approach to generalized linear and proportional hazards mixed models. Outside the normal linear mixed models, exact calculations are not available and we resort to asymptotic approximations. In the presence of nuisance parameters, a profile conditional Akaike information is proposed. Bootstrap methods are considered for their potential advantage in finite samples. Simulations show that the performance of the bootstrap and the analytic criteria are comparable, with bootstrap demonstrating some advantages for larger cluster sizes. The proposed criteria are applied to two cancer datasets to select models when the cluster-specific inference is of interest.

13.
Neurology ; 74(3): 201-9, 2010 Jan 19.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-20042704

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Neuroimaging measures and chemical biomarkers may be important indices of clinical progression in normal aging and mild cognitive impairment (MCI) and need to be evaluated longitudinally. OBJECTIVE: To characterize cross-sectionally and longitudinally clinical measures in normal controls, subjects with MCI, and subjects with mild Alzheimer disease (AD) to enable the assessment of the utility of neuroimaging and chemical biomarker measures. METHODS: A total of 819 subjects (229 cognitively normal, 398 with MCI, and 192 with AD) were enrolled at baseline and followed for 12 months using standard cognitive and functional measures typical of clinical trials. RESULTS: The subjects with MCI were more memory impaired than the cognitively normal subjects but not as impaired as the subjects with AD. Nonmemory cognitive measures were only minimally impaired in the subjects with MCI. The subjects with MCI progressed to dementia in 12 months at a rate of 16.5% per year. Approximately 50% of the subjects with MCI were on antidementia therapies. There was minimal movement on the Alzheimer's Disease Assessment Scale-Cognitive Subscale for the normal control subjects, slight movement for the subjects with MCI of 1.1, and a modest change for the subjects with AD of 4.3. Baseline CSF measures of Abeta-42 separated the 3 groups as expected and successfully predicted the 12-month change in cognitive measures. CONCLUSION: The Alzheimer's Disease Neuroimaging Initiative has successfully recruited cohorts of cognitively normal subjects, subjects with mild cognitive impairment (MCI), and subjects with Alzheimer disease with anticipated baseline characteristics. The 12-month progression rate of MCI was as predicted, and the CSF measures heralded progression of clinical measures over 12 months.


Asunto(s)
Enfermedad de Alzheimer/metabolismo , Enfermedad de Alzheimer/patología , Diagnóstico por Imagen/normas , Anciano , Anciano de 80 o más Años , Enfermedad de Alzheimer/diagnóstico , Biomarcadores/metabolismo , Estudios Transversales , Femenino , Estudios de Seguimiento , Humanos , Estudios Longitudinales , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad
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